NOAA Expects Hurricane Season For 2018 To Be Near Or Above Normal

NOAA Expects Hurricane Season For 2018 To Be Near Or Above Normal

NOAA Expects Hurricane Season For 2018 To Be Near Or Above Normal

There's a 35% chance that this hurricane season will be above normal, a 40% chance for a near-normal season, and a 25% chance for a below-normal season, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which released its forecast for the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday.

Overall, NOAA predicts that there will be 10-16 named storms, of which 5-9 could become hurricanes, and 1-4 of those could be major hurricanes. A major hurricane is one of Category 3 strength or higher, which means winds speeds of at least 111 miles per hour, which will cause "devastating damage", according to the National Hurricane Center.

"Last year was extremely active", Gerry Bell, the lead hurricane forecaster at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said in an interview.

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Officials continue to warn residents that it only takes one storm to cause devastation to an area and are encouraging residents who live along the coastlines to begin preparing now for the upcoming hurricane season. The federal agency, which oversees the National Hurricane Center and the National Weather Service, expects 10 to 16 tropical storms to develop in the Atlantic basin this year.

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season list of names includes several that might sound familiar, along with one new name.

The season might also have a weak El Niño that could contribute to a stronger hurricane season. Puerto Rico is still in the process of recovering from Hurricane Maria, with more than 14,000 people still without power on the island, according to an ABC report.

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If the storm gains sustained winds of 39 miles per hour or more, it would be named Alberto, from the list of 2018 Atlantic tropical cyclone names.

Bell said there's a 70 percent probability that the season's hurricanes will fall within the forecast range.

The actual season was right on the high end of that prediction range. In an average season, there are about 11 storms.

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Tallied together, 16 major weather disasters in the United States, including hurricanes, cost the U.S. $306.2 billion in 2017, shattering the previous cost record of $214.8 billion in 2005, said NOAA. Of course, what really matters is not how many storms develop but where they make landfall.

Hurricane season hasn't officially started yet, but the storms are already brewing. "When you have a more active season, that's when you have more storms forming in the tropical Atlantic".

The tropical cyclone names are as follows: Alberto Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Florence, Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Michael, Nadine, Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sara, Tony, Valerie, William.

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